With 6.5%, non-food credit offtake is expected to remain weak in FY21 as well.
An attractive bond market is attracting highly rated big ticket borrowers, away from the commercial banks.
Commercial banks (SBCs) are also risk averse, given the uncertainty in a market that is shored up by excess liquidity.
The industrial supply chain being disrupted by COVID-19 is expected to resume in H2 only.
Last one year, RBI has reduced repo rate by almost 285 bps.
The rate cut has not completely transmitted in long-term lending rate, as banks are unwilling to cut the lending rate.
RBI’s decision to cut CRR by 100 bps to 3% and 75 bps cut in repo rate was expected to act as a catalyst for the market sentiment. SBCs, on their part were expected to cut lending rates proportionately.
Lower fed rate and weak (RBI’s active currency management) domestic currency will make the external borrowings more enticing for the corporates.